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Survey of Sugar in China Edition (1)

This report provides an overview of China’s sugar industry and the following aspects are answered in this report: What is the current supply pattern of sugar in China? What is the major factor affecting the domestic market of sugar in recent seasons? Are there any trends among domestic sugar producers and how will they deal with the market change and the impact from imported sugar, which is much cheaper than domestic product?

Output of sugar crops were in rise cycle during 2010 and 2013, and reached 133.61 million tonnes in 2013, up 14.5% over 2010. As a result, the domestic output of sugar also witnessed continuous growth, reached 13.32 million tonnes in 2013/2014 season with a growth of 27.4% over 2010/2011.

Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region and Yunnan Province are the two largest planting regions of sugar crops in China, together accouting for about 75% of the total output in China in 2013. The two provinces are also the major production region of sugar in China,accouting for 64.3% and 17.3% of total sugar output in 2013/2014 season, respectively.

The production bases of most major sugar producers in China are located in Guangxi and Yunnan, due to the abundant supply of sugar crops. Through purchase, technical transformation, and construction of new sugar plants, top producers have been expanding their crushing capacites of sugar crops in the past four seasons. By contrast, some small producers have stopped production due to weak market and losses in recent seasons.

In recent seasons, import of sugar started playing a more important role in the supply of sugar in domestic market. The import volume of sugar in China witnessed a sharp growth in recent years, from 1.06 million tonnes in 2009 to the historical high of 4.55 million tonnes in 2013.

The increasing supply and competition from imported sugar resluted in sharp decline in market price of sguar in China. In Sept. 2014, the price saw a bottom of USD682/t, down 41% over the USD1,160/t in Oct. 2011. Most domestic producers witnessed losses in 2012/2013 and 2013/2014 seasons. It’s worth mentioning that, many domestic sugar producers have introduced the business of processing imported raw sugar, in order to avoid risks when domestic sugar price is in down cycles.

Considering the huge inventory, it’s predicted that the oversupply of sugar in China will continue in the following two seasons since 2014/2015, although the domestic output and global supply will enter decline cycle in future.

The following data and analysis are unveiled in this report:

  • Plant area and output of sugar crops in China, 1980s-2014E;
  • Output of sugar crops in major plant regions, 2013;
  • Comparison between China and Brazil in the purchasing price of sugarcane, 2010/2011-2013/2014 season;
  • Output, import, and consumption of sugar in China, 2010/2011-2013/2014 season;
  • Production of major sugar producers in China, 2010/2011-2013/2014 season;
  • Consumption pattern of creatine in China, 2014;
  • Market price of sugar in China, 2010-2014;
  • Forecast on the futrure trend of sugar market in China, 2014/2015-2017/2018 season.

Companies Mentioned

Guangxi Yangpu Nanhua Sugar Group Co., Ltd.,Guangxi Nanning East Asia Sugar Co., Ltd.,Guangdong Hengfu Sugar Industry Group Co., Ltd.,Guangxi State Farms Sugar Industrial Group Co., Ltd.,Nanning Sugar Industry Co., Ltd.

Table of Contents for Report "Survey of Sugar in China Edition (1)"

Table of Contents

Executive summary

Methodology

1 Overview

2 Policy

3 Raw materials in China
3.1 Cultivation of sugar crops in China, 1978-2014E
3.2 Comparison between the sugarcane cultivation in China and foreign countries

4 Production
4.1 Production
4.2 Producer

5 Import and export

6 Demand

7 Price

8 Forecast

9 Conclusion

10 Profile
10.1 Guangxi Yangpu Nanhua Sugar Group Co., Ltd.
10.2 Guangxi Nanning East Asia Sugar Co., Ltd.
10.3 Guangdong Hengfu Sugar Industry Group Co., Ltd.
10.4 Guangxi State Farms Sugar Industrial Group Co., Ltd.
10.5 Nanning Sugar Industry Co., Ltd.
10.6 Guangxi Yongxin Huatang Group Co., Ltd.
10.7 Associated British Sugar Holdings (China) Co., Ltd.
10.8 Guangxi Liuzhou Fengshan Sugar Group Co., Ltd.
10.9 Yunnan Yinmore Sugar Group Co., Ltd.
10.10 Guangdong Guangken Sugar Group Co., Ltd.
10.11 Guangxi Laibin Dongtang Group Co., Ltd.

List of Tables

Table 1-1 Overview of sugar industry in China
Table 4.2-1 Production of sugar in China by producer, 2010/2011-2013/2014 season
Table 8-1 Forecast on the supply, consumption, and inventory of sugar in China, 2014/2015-2017/2018 season, '000 tonne
Table 10.1-1 Capacity and output of sugar for Guangxi Yangpu Nanhua Sugar Industry Group Co., Ltd., 2010/2011-2013/2014 season
Table 10.2-1 Capacity and output of sugar for Guangxi Nanning East Asia Sugar Co., Ltd., 2010/2011-2013/2014 season
Table 10.3-1 Capacity and output of sugar for Guangdong Hengfu Sugar Industry Group Co., Ltd., 2010/2011-2013/2014 season
Table 10.3-2 Capacity and output of sugar for Yunnan Fengqing Sugar (Group) Co., Ltd., 2010/2011-2013/2014 season
Table 10.4-1 Capacity and output of sugar for Guangxi State Farms Sugar Industrial Group Co., Ltd., 2010/2011-2013/2014 season
Table 10.5-1 Capacity and output of Nanning Sugar Industry Co., Ltd., 2010/2011-2013/2014 season
Table 10.5-2 Performance in sugar business of Nanning Sugar Industry Co., Ltd., 2011-2014
Table 10.6-1 Capacity and output of Guangxi Yongxin Huatang Group Co., Ltd., 2010/2011-2013/2014 season
Table 10.7-1 Capacity and output of sugar for Associated British Foods Holdings (China) Co., Ltd. by region, 2010/2011-2013/2014 season
Table 10.8-1 Capacity and output of sugar of Guangxi Liuzhou Fengshan Sugar Group Co., Ltd. by region, 2010/2011-2013/2014 season
Table 10.9-1 Capacity and output of sugar for Yunnan Yinmore Sugar Group Co., Ltd., 2010/2011-2013/2014 season
Table 10.10-1 Capacity and output of sugar for Guangdong Guangken Sugar Group Co., Ltd., 2010/2011-2013/2014 season
Table 10.11-1 Capacity and output of sugar for Guangxi Laibin Dongtang Group Co., Ltd., 2010/2011-2013/2014 season

List of Figures

Figure 2-1 Output and export of saccharin in China, 2009-2014
Figure 3.1-1 Planting area of sugar crops in China, 1978-2014E, '000 hectare
Figure 3.1-2 Planting area of sugar crops in main provinces in China, 2013, '000 hectare
Figure 3.1-3 Output of sugar crops in China, 1978-2014, '000 tonne
Figure 3.1-4 Geographical distribution of sugar crops by output in China, 2013
Figure 3.1-5 Output of sugarcane in Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region by City, 2013
Figure 3.1-6 Output of sugarcane in Yunnan Province by City, 2013
Figure 3.2-1 Purchasing price of sugarcane in Brazil (Sao Paulo state) and China, 2010/2011-2013/2014 season, USD/t
Figure 3.2-2 Ex-works price of sugar in Brazil (Sao Paulo state) and China, 2010/2011-2013/2014 season, USD/t
Figure 3.2-3 Differences in sugarcane cost and sugar price between Brazil (Sao Paulo state) and China, 2010/2011-2013/2014 season, USD/t
Figure 3.2-4 Unit output of sugarcane in south-central Brazil and China, 2010/2011-2013/2014 season, t/ha
Figure 4.1-1 Output of sugar in China, 2009/2010-2013/2014 season, '000 tonne
Figure 4.1-2 Distribution of sugar output in China by region, 2013/2014 season, '000 tonne
Figure 4.1-3 YoY growth rate of sugar output in China by region, 2013/2014 season, %
Figure 4.2-1 Number of sugar plant in operation in China, 2009/2010-2013/2014 season
Figure 5-1 Import of sugar in China by month, Oct. 2009-Dec. 2014
Figure 5-2 Profit from processing imported raw sugar in China, Nov. 2011-Dec. 2014, USD/t
Figure 5-3 Import of sugar in China by source, 2013 and 2014
Figure 5-4 Import of sugar in China by destination, 2013 and 2014
Figure 6-1 Supply and consumption of sugar in China, 2009/2010-2013/2014 season, '000 tonne
Figure 6-2 Output of sugary food in China, 2009-2014, '000 tonne
Figure 6-3 Capacity and output of high fructose corn syrup in China, 2009-2012
Figure 7-1 Market price of sugar in China, 2010-2014
Figure 10.4-1 Distribution of sugar plants of Guangxi State Farms Sugar in Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, 2014
Figure 10.6-1 Distribution of sugar plants of Yongxin Huatang in Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region and Yunnan Province, 2014
Figure 10.7-1 Distribution of sugar plants of Associated British Sugar Holdings (China) Co., Ltd., 2014
Figure 10.9-1 Distribution of sugar plants of Yunnan Yinmore Sugar Group Co., Ltd. in Yunnan Province, 2014

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